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Dátum: 2004-11-08 14:25:20
Feladó: Hevesi Zoltán
Tárgy: IMO_-_s_Leonida_előrejelzés
Leonid predictions for 2004
Although the big Leonid outbursts we saw over the last few years are over,
this remains an interesting shower to observe. Using the same methods that
successfully predicted these outbursts, Vaubaillon et al. share their
forecast for this year.

Vaubaillon et al.
------------------
Trail Year  Date     Time       ZHR estimate
1333  2004 Nov 19   06:42 UTC   10
1733  2004 Nov 19   21:49 UTC ~ 65
1001  2004 Nov 8    23:30 UTC   50 (100?)  -- not by Sato

David Asher about 1001 trail
-----------------------------
1001  2004 Nov 8    23:38 UTC   faint meteors


Mikiya Sato
------------

trail v_ejec         Date   Time   sollong
1965  120.96  1.35  Nov.17  09:22  235.315  -0.0017  0.94   153.61  21.62
70.81  No peak    -- very faint???
1733   20.82  0.22  Nov.19  21:26  237.840  -0.0023  0.10   155.19  20.76
70.80  Middle scale peak
1333   14.27  0.14  Nov.19  06:39  237.218  +0.0018  0.022  154.95  21.28
70.64  Low level peak
1167   13.10  0.13  Nov.21  09:54  239.374  +0.0029  0.0049 156.27  20.54
70.67  No peak
1135   11.75  0.12  Nov.21  08:21  239.309  +0.0006  0.0040 156.21  20.48
70.73  Low level peak? -- not by Vaubaillon
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