Leonid predictions for 2004
Although the big Leonid outbursts we saw over the last few years are over,
this remains an interesting shower to observe. Using the same methods that
successfully predicted these outbursts, Vaubaillon et al. share their
forecast for this year.
Vaubaillon et al.
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Trail Year Date Time ZHR estimate
1333 2004 Nov 19 06:42 UTC 10
1733 2004 Nov 19 21:49 UTC ~ 65
1001 2004 Nov 8 23:30 UTC 50 (100?) -- not by Sato
David Asher about 1001 trail
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1001 2004 Nov 8 23:38 UTC faint meteors
Mikiya Sato
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trail v_ejec Date Time sollong
1965 120.96 1.35 Nov.17 09:22 235.315 -0.0017 0.94 153.61 21.62
70.81 No peak -- very faint???
1733 20.82 0.22 Nov.19 21:26 237.840 -0.0023 0.10 155.19 20.76
70.80 Middle scale peak
1333 14.27 0.14 Nov.19 06:39 237.218 +0.0018 0.022 154.95 21.28
70.64 Low level peak
1167 13.10 0.13 Nov.21 09:54 239.374 +0.0029 0.0049 156.27 20.54
70.67 No peak
1135 11.75 0.12 Nov.21 08:21 239.309 +0.0006 0.0040 156.21 20.48
70.73 Low level peak? -- not by Vaubaillon |